Sunday, August 8, 2010

This is a REAL Crisis Folks

When I was just starting to learn about political-economic history I had a habit of responding to economic crises as if they were signalling the end of the current order. Time and time again I underestimated the strength and resiliency of the the US-led economic system. So when the financial crisis exploded in 2008 I was cautious about predicting catastrophe. Timely and massive use of public monies to bail-out the rugged individualist titans of capitalism on Wall Street and stimulus spending on the construction industry and the prison-industrial complex managed to prevent a full-blown depression and Canada (at least) has been able to pretend that we dodged a bullet and that we can all carry on as if nothing had happened.

While it remains true that (thanks to the selfish, deluded, idiots in charge) that a wave of austerity might trigger a second, even more devastating financial crisis, I'd like to point out that even then capitalism might survive. It survived the Great Depression after all. And, even in the Great Depression, when official unemployment (which excluded farmers and small business people who were a much greater percentage of the work force than they are today) was 25% at the worst of the crisis, there were large groups of people still working, still going along to get along, demonizing the unemployed and shrieking about the dangers of "big government." Even in the Great Depression then, people could pretend that everything was normal.

Of course, the Great Depression was a world disaster. It produced the rise of fascism and Hitler which meant the Second World War and the Holocaust among other things. And today's economic crisis is really hitting the centre of things, the United States of America, quite harshly:
It's probably also worth noting this Wall St. Journal article from last month -- with a subheadline warning: "Back to Stone Age" -- which describes how "paved roads, historical emblems of American achievement, are being torn up across rural America and replaced with gravel or other rough surfaces as counties struggle with tight budgets and dwindling state and federal revenue." Utah is seriously considering eliminating the 12th grade, or making it optional. And it was announced this week that "Camden [New Jersey] is preparing to permanently shut its library system by the end of the year, potentially leaving residents of the impoverished city among the few in the United States unable to borrow a library book free."
But, obviously, things are rougher in the periphery, as they usually are:
As revenue from raw material exports and taxation slumped, the crisis created a huge "fiscal hole" in the 56 poorest countries, decimating their budget revenues by $53bn (£33bn) in 2009 – nearly 10% of their pre-crisis revenues. A further $12bn will be lost in 2010, creating a total fiscal hole of $65bn over the two-year period. That hole ensures that the poorest countries will share the rich world's pain of cuts in essential services (while countries in the middle like China, India and Brazil steam on relatively unharmed), even though they missed out on the preceding financial boom. It's like suffering a monumental hangover when you weren't even invited to the party.
This crisis is devastating the lives of tens of millions of people and it's limiting the potential of millions more. Finally, the whole thing is distracting us from directing the resources needed to stop us from destroying our eco-system more than we already have:

Try to fit these facts together:

  • According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the planet has just come through the warmest decade, the warmest 12 months, the warmest six months, and the warmest April, May, and June on record.

  • A "staggering" new study from Canadian researchers has shown that warmer seawater has reduced phytoplankton, the base of the marine food chain, by 40 percent since 1950.

  • Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees F), Niger (118), Sudan (121), Saudi Arabia and Iraq (126 apiece), and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130. I can turn my oven to 130.

  • And then, in late July, the U.S. Senate decided to do exactly nothing about climate change. They didn't do less than they could have -- they did nothing, preserving a perfect two-decade bipartisan record of no action. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) decided not even to schedule a vote on legislation that would have capped carbon emissions.
To sum up: It is quite possible to get the enormity of our problems across to the so-called "Tim Horton's Crowd."

2 comments:

The Mound of Sound said...

Oh, never fear, reality will set in, soon. Even then it may be too little, too late.

Capitalism may survive but it won't be the 19th century, industrial revolution capitalism, growth-based model that served us so well for a while and has served us so poorly for the last 30+ years. Growth became unviable in the mid-80's when the population first exceeded our biosphere's ability to produce renewables. Since then we've relied on technological parlour tricks to facilitate unsustainable growth, eating our seed corn as it's often called. The proof of that is manifest today in desertification, exhaustion of groundwater and other renewables, the collapse of global fisheries, air/water/soil contamination, on and on and on.

When I was born the earth's population was at an all time record of just over two billion. Today we're approaching seven and said to be on our way to nine billion. That's all in but one lifetime. Civilization existed for about six thousand years before we reached one billion. Barely a century and a half later we doubled that to two billion. Now, in the span of but one lifetime, we've trebled that again.

We're already well past the earth's carrying capacity and yet our leaders, including Ignatieff, continue to cling to the fantastic notion of continued growth. These are people who can do our kids, our grandkids, our world no possible good.

Voices like those of James Hansen warn that we have but until 2015 to stop all growth of carbon emissions and begin outright slashing of emissions straight through to 2050 and yet do you see anyone planning for that? Just five years to stop ourselves. Forget Harper, do you hear any sane voices coming out of Ottawa? I don't. The place is run by Tar Sanders, the very worst Fossil Fuelers and the Liberals and NDP have no cause to be smug.

thwap said...

Yes, the global environmental crisis is upon us.

At the same time, capitalism isn't capable of meeting the challenge (a la "green industries" to accommodate ecological reality) because capitalism is now at a stage where only financial wealth meets the demands of the profit maximizers.

We need to eliminate the power of the profit-making class, and implement genuine democracy.

Then, the majority (who cannot delude themselves that "it's all going to be okay") can do the work of trimming our consumption and stopping the rat-race of production that is killing us.