After posting (not too long ago) about the chances for renewed conflagration in the Middle East by Saturday, I read Caitlin Johnstone's [then] latest post.
The other major story today is that Israel appears to be backing down on its ceasefire brinkmanship in Gaza. Barak Ravid reports for Axios that according to an unnamed Israeli official, Israel has told mediators that it will abide by the ceasefire terms as long as Hamas releases three hostages on Saturday as originally planned.
This would be a significant walk-back from the Netanyahu regime, who shortly beforehand had been insisting that Hamas must release “all” hostages on Saturday, which went against the terms of the ceasefire agreement.
Additionally, the aid requirements Hamas had been demanding now appear to be flooding in from Israel.
Remember, ... despite the occasional blustering threat (followed by nothing) Israel has made no further military moves against Iran. And if the USA and Israel thought that they could, they would do so. But Iran has shown Israel that it can devastate Israel with missiles and, furthermore, that the pants-pissing cowards in the Israeli airforce have a high chance of dying if they attempt to penetrate Iranian airspace.
The ICKF (Israeli Child Killing Forces) cannot fight Hamas, Hezbollah, Yemen and whatever anti-Israeli forces remain in Syria. Israel's tattered economy is on USA-funded life-support. Thousands have fled. Thousands are internal refugees. Businesses are shuttered. Even if Trump had the USA foot the bill for the subsidies to keep the Israeli state functioning, the US weapons manufacturing industry is incapable of producing what would be needed for a genuine conflict between Israel and its regional adversaries.
Maybe for Israel this is like their buddy, Adolph Hitler's Nazi Germany at it's high-point just before the Battle of Stalingrad. Although overstretched, Nazi Germany appeared to be in the driver's seat. Hitler's southern strategy to seize the Caucus oil fields had surprised the battered Red Army. The German Wermacht wasn't capturing as many Soviet prisoners but it was still winning. To his west, Britain was at bay but still in the fight. And the independence of the British Isles would allow it to become a staging area for British and eventually US-American bombers as well as for a US-American-dominated invasion force.
As well, a war between Israel and Iran would cause an increase in the price of oil. That will cause yet another surge of inflation all around which will only make the increasingly oligarchic nightmare of the USA's political-economy all that much more of a tinderbox.
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