We Need a Revolution: Part I

 

When capitalism went down hard in the 1930's the world was unquestionably ruled by white people.  China was a basket-case and India was ruled by the British.  Japan was the only truly autonomous non-white country.  And in the 1930's, the rise of tariffs in all the European nations, the USA and Canada, and Australia, devastated its export-oriented economy.  There was a non-capitalist Soviet Union pursuing its autarchic industrialization.  This served as something of a threat to the capitalist countries.  Communists and socialists were rising political movements in their many countries.

Then, as now, the capitalist class wasn't smart enough to have invented fascism to save itself from socialism.  Mussolini, Hitler, and others arose organically from out of societies in distress from the First World War, the post-war dislocations and then the Great Depression.  But the capitalists in Germany and Italy certainly saw how useful they were to push-back against the challenge from socialism.

Britain, France, the Netherlands, the Scandinavian countries, Canada, the USA, Australia, ... maintained social cohesiveness.  Spain went socialist and then fascist.

In the end there was a war. The war replaced the suppressed demand caused by capitalist inequality and financial sector mismanagement with state-subsidized industrial expansion and full employment.  The greater resources of the USA, the British Empire and Commonwealth, and the Soviet Union produced their victory and gave the Soviets forty-five years of super-power status and the Anglo-American bloc seventy-five years of global hegemony.

 

We are now in a slow-motion, drawn-out crisis similar to that of the 1930's.  Except that this time our elites have knowledge (gained through experience) of public-sector financial management, social welfare policies, and propaganda/brainwashing that has so far allowed them to remain securely in power.  They aren't consciously aware of this.  They insist on un-learning all the lessons of the 20th Century in order to pursue their short-term narcissistic goals.  But the continued immiseration of the public, the homeless camps, the rise in household debt and insecurity, combined with the growing inequality and the elites' short-sighted, narcissistic compulsions to destroy those few remaining concessions to reality (welfare policies, fiscal and monetary policies) that provide some comforts for the majority, have led to a return to fascism.

Immigrants are scapegoated.  The lunatic ambitions of the zionist project in Palestine add fuel to the fire.  But this time there is no Soviet Union and no domestic socialist movements of any importance.  There is China and there is Russia.  Czarist Russia was backwards.  Soviet Russia was a clumsy colossus.  21st-Century Russia is a battle-hardened, resource-rich, militarily-focused, independent, more experienced nation.  Sobered by the fall of its empire.  China is an economic and technological powerhouse constrained by the realization that when the population's needs outstrip the resource/economic base, disaster follows.

India, Brazil, Iran, ... they're strong enough now to not be pushed around.

 

Israel was the last case of a European colonialist society.  After 1945, every other European imperialist country was formally giving up their colonies and settler societies (like Canada, the USA, South Africa) had ceased expanding, with some of them making at least token steps to ameliorate some of the worst aspects of their racist pasts.  (South Africa intensified its apartheid regime, but formal white political supremacy was lost by the 1990s.)

Meanwhile, Israeli zionists, to the present day, believe in a racist fantasy of a "Greater Israel" encompassing parts of Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.  This while continuing to impose intense apartheid on the Palestinians and expanding into the West Bank.

If Israel and the United States are defeated in this crisis, it means the end of the era of European imperialism.

And that is what Iran intends.

Can Iran do it?

 I don't know obviously.  I don't have access to inside information about US and Israeli military hardware and tactics.  Nor do I have information about the Iranian side.  But I have seen the results of the June 2025 12-Day War and I saw that Israel was about to be completely overwhelmed after two weeks of fighting.  And at that time, Iran hadn't taken out the USA's radar installations in the Arab puppet dictatorships.  Last June, the Israelis had 30 minutes warning about incoming Iranian strikes.  Now it's said that is down to five minutes.

That's enough for today.